We may be entering another volatile week of trading as testimonies from spokesmen of US and Australian central banks are set to happen. Fears of a global recession have investors moving into risk-off currencies and indices around the world fall into bear market territory. In light of the current market condition, here are some of the best trade setups we see going into this week (6/20/2022).
USDCAD is one of the best trending pairs to trade right now as price has moved mostly sideways with a gradual slant upward. As oil prices take a break from its recent surge, the Fed pushed interest rates higher by 75 bp causing growing demand for the dollar. Price has touched a previous high and retraced from the 1.30700s on the 1D timeframe, establishing a double top. However, there is clean support right below in the 1.29680s where price can retest and potentially head back up into the 1.3s again.
Aussie pairs are catching the most volatility today with the RBA governor testimony in focus. Aussie-Swiss fell towards its March highs, but the pair bounced before it could hit a support level around 0.66800s. This support is also coupled with 61.8% fib level on the 1D timeframe which could serve as strong support for the pair should price move lower.
AUDJPY is up 0.55% today on yen weakness. Price came down to test the 50 DMA before rejecting the lows and shooting back up. Higher lows and highs have been established which suggests the uptrend will probably continue. With that in mind, the pair could go back up to test the highs around 96.900s on the 1D timeframe. Additional support lies below around 86.087.
CHFJPY is one of the strongest 'buy' ratings on the Edgefinder today at +4. The Swiss Franc is stronger this week for last week's recent rate hike decision from -0.75% to -0.25% interest. BOJ plans to keep the same monetary policy even though other countries are working to tighten over the next several months. Price jumped again today and is above previous resistance in the 137.800s. There is also a supportive trend line that the pair could bounce off from should price move lower.
GBP/USD is now a -8 strong sell rating on the Edgefinder after unemployment and inflation exceed that of the US. All metrics are red except for GDP growth while the majority of retail is long this pair. Institutional interest is strong on the USD as the number of long contracts increased by 10% last week while GBP long contracts fell by 4%. Fears of an economic recession in both the US and UK point towards heavy risk-off sentiment which gives the dollar a considerable advantage in this situation. The pair just retraced from the recent gains it made in the last week suggesting that price could come down to test the lows again around 1.19392.
The dollar flew higher last week as a result of resilient economic news along with a higher PCE than expected. Now the DXY has reached a decision point in price action. This week's NFP will help determine the sentiment around the potential June rate hike. Here is what we are looking at: EdgeFinder Analysis USDCAD […]
Considerably dovish news from central banks in the US and New Zealand has caused a major stir in the markets. Governor Orr and Vice Chairman Powell both released some reassuring news for the economy in the long term. But what does this mean for USD and NZD? EdgeFinder Analysis GBPNZD is a pair that should […]
As we trade into a broad news week covering the economic status of multiple countries, there are several scenarios we should consider. Although it is impossible to predict the future, we can at least prepare for the news events set to come this week for kiwi, dollar and the pound. EdgeFinder Analysis GBPJPY still maintains […]
