CAD- Canadian Dollar, Loonie
Fundamental Analysis
As the Canadian economy gets healthier, the Bank of Canada has decided to lessen their current quantitative easing and give Canada room to grow on its own. CAD is already performing exceptionally compared to the other currencies and is predicted to be the favored for the rest of the year by analysts.
Resources and Employment:
Due to Canada's abundance in natural resources, their business is still heavily in demand to other countries, especially in the US. The price of oil is on the rise as well which is a good sign for the loonie as Canada starts coming out of the pandemic and things seem to be reaching normalcy again.
Canada has projected to lower their unemployment rate by 0.2% when the data comes out this Friday. The number of employment change is expected to be significantly less than last month, so this currency will probably go through some volatility this week, and especially towards the end of this week.
Technical Analysis
CADJPY on the 1D chart has shown great upside movement from the start of February. This pair will likely find support on that steep blue trend line. There is also additional support in the low 86s, but it seems that price will bounce off that trend line before it can reach support. With momentum this heavy to the upside, it would be wise to stick with the trend until we start to see some technical patterns suggesting price will go lower.
Retail Sentiment
Retail is heavily bearish against the Canadian loonie on the major CAD pairs which is directly countering the big upside this currency has had the past few months. Again, the trend will likely continue to the upside regardless of retail sentiment right now. Fundamentals and technicals support CAD heavily for the time being so it might be some time before we see CAD turn bearish.
CJ Rallies, Gold Tests Resistance4/9/2021 CAD/JPY Analysis CJ does find support below the trend line in the low 86.000s. On the daily chart, this pair bounced hard before seeing rejection on the latest candle. Really good employment numbers came out today as Canada's unemployment rate fell to 7.5% from 8% last month shattering expectations. This […]
CJ Hits Support, Gold Breaks Resistance, Bitcoin to $400K?4/7/2021 CAD/JPY Analysis CJ comes back to key trend line on the daily chart for support. Price has historically bounced off this line for the last couple months, but if price were to break under, there is additional support in the low 86.000s. CAD employment numbers are […]
Look out traders! On Friday the 9th of April, Canada will be printing their jobs report and here's what to expect... Quick Summary of February Report: Canada added 259.2k jobs in February vs 98.5k consensus Unemployment rate fell from 9.4% to 8.2% vs 9.2% forecast The February report turned out much better than expected, as […]