A1 Trading Company

July 30, 2022

How To Short USD: 3 Options

Michael J. Donoghue
How To Short USD: 3 Options

Why Sell USD?

While many USD bulls (including myself) think that bullish momentum in the US Dollar Index has a ways to go before buying pressure is exhausted, there is a compelling argument that this is not the case. First, the United States economy officially met the criteria for a technical recession as of Thursday morning: two consecutive quarters of GDP contraction, which is bearish for USD in theory.

Second, Fed Chair Jerome Powell gave ambiguous comments at the FOMC press conference this past Wednesday, which many analysts and traders interpreted as subtly dovish. If true, this would be monumentally bearish for USD, considering US inflation remains at 40-year highs. For those interested in shorting the US Dollar, here are three major pairs that the EdgeFinder, an A1 Trading tool for supplemental analysis, signals as opportunities for selling USD.

How To Short USD: 3 Options
Get a copy of The Edgefinder here for 10% off with code READER

1) Sell USD/CHF

With a rating of -6, earning a ‘strong sell’ signal, fundamentals currently favor CHF for the most part, between Switzerland’s 2% unemployment rate and growing economy. The only strike against it is currently COT data, with a higher percentage of institutional traders buying USD rather than CHF.   

How To Short USD: 3 Options
Get a copy of The Edgefinder here for 10% off with code READER

2) Sell USD/CAD

With a rating of -4, earning a ‘sell’ signal, fundamentals are somewhat mixed for the pair, and are especially unique considering that the US is one of Canada’s primary trading partners. However, retail sentiment, seasonality, and trend reading currently weigh in CAD’s favor.

How To Short USD: 3 Options
Get a copy of The Edgefinder here for 10% off with code READER

3) Buy NZD/USD

With a rating of 4, earning a ‘buy’ signal, fundamentals currently favor NZD in light of New Zealand’s 3.2% unemployment rate and smaller economic contraction, as well as their exports. While institutional and retail sentiment don’t favor NZD, seasonality and trend reading do.

How To Short USD: 3 Options

How To Monitor USD

For those who are interested in keeping tabs on USD fundamentals and sentiment before trading major pairs, investing in the EdgeFinder will help you keep up with the latest economic data, COT data, and more. Use this link if you would like to purchase the EdgeFinder, or perhaps try it out for free.

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