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July 30, 2022

How To Short USD: 3 Options

Michael J. Donoghue
How To Short USD: 3 Options

Why Sell USD?

While many USD bulls (including myself) think that bullish momentum in the US Dollar Index has a ways to go before buying pressure is exhausted, there is a compelling argument that this is not the case. First, the United States economy officially met the criteria for a technical recession as of Thursday morning: two consecutive quarters of GDP contraction, which is bearish for USD in theory.

Second, Fed Chair Jerome Powell gave ambiguous comments at the FOMC press conference this past Wednesday, which many analysts and traders interpreted as subtly dovish. If true, this would be monumentally bearish for USD, considering US inflation remains at 40-year highs. For those interested in shorting the US Dollar, here are three major pairs that the EdgeFinder, an A1 Trading tool for supplemental analysis, signals as opportunities for selling USD.

How To Short USD: 3 Options
Get a copy of The Edgefinder here for 10% off with code READER

1) Sell USD/CHF

With a rating of -6, earning a ‘strong sell’ signal, fundamentals currently favor CHF for the most part, between Switzerland’s 2% unemployment rate and growing economy. The only strike against it is currently COT data, with a higher percentage of institutional traders buying USD rather than CHF.   

How To Short USD: 3 Options
Get a copy of The Edgefinder here for 10% off with code READER

2) Sell USD/CAD

With a rating of -4, earning a ‘sell’ signal, fundamentals are somewhat mixed for the pair, and are especially unique considering that the US is one of Canada’s primary trading partners. However, retail sentiment, seasonality, and trend reading currently weigh in CAD’s favor.

How To Short USD: 3 Options
Get a copy of The Edgefinder here for 10% off with code READER

3) Buy NZD/USD

With a rating of 4, earning a ‘buy’ signal, fundamentals currently favor NZD in light of New Zealand’s 3.2% unemployment rate and smaller economic contraction, as well as their exports. While institutional and retail sentiment don’t favor NZD, seasonality and trend reading do.

How To Short USD: 3 Options

How To Monitor USD

For those who are interested in keeping tabs on USD fundamentals and sentiment before trading major pairs, investing in the EdgeFinder will help you keep up with the latest economic data, COT data, and more. Use this link if you would like to purchase the EdgeFinder, or perhaps try it out for free.

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DISCLAIMER: All comments made by TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC are for educational and informational purposes only. All comments should not be construed as investment advice regarding the purchase or sale of any securities or financial instrument of any kind. Please consult with your financial adviser before making an investment decision regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned by TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC. TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC assumes no responsibility for your trading and investment results. All information on any of the platforms utilized by TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC, its employees, representatives, and affiliated individuals may have a position or effect transactions in the securities and financial instruments herein and or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies. Trading of any type involves very high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC, its subsidiaries and all affiliated individuals assume no responsibility for your trading and investment result. Read our full disclaimer here
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