A1 Trading Company

July 15, 2021

Is The USD About To Pop Up? What The Latest Jobs Numbers Tell Us

Frank Cabibi

7/15/2021

This morning, the US posted their weekly jobs data and missed expectations for the fourth time in five weeks. All the while, inflation is growing at a faster rate than it has in decades reaching 5.4%. None of this looks good for the economy, but this could be good news for the US dollar.

Our outlook

I find it increasingly likely that investors could see the Fed raising rates sooner than anticipated or even more than twice by 2023. The expectation of capping inflation and raising rates could be the catalyst that sparks USD's recovery and further momentum to the upside. Powell's testimony has told us that the Fed is still not as concerned with inflation, they're still holding on to their asset purchases, and tapering is still a "ways off".

Trade Setups

DXY

The dollar index is still respecting its rising trend line on the 4H as recent candles show rejection from the lows. We could expect another dip to also bounce off this rising trendline, or we could see price test a double top around 92.808.

USDJPY

UJ pulling back a little bit today after growing economic concerns in the US mount. The pair recently bounced off the bottom of a channel trend line suggesting that this level is a reliable support line. Price could come up to test resistance around 110.400.

GBPUSD

GBPUSD rises today after coming off support from the rising trend line on the 4H. Price could test resistance around 1.39098 which serves as a significant resistance level; a break would be considerably bullish for the pair. However, a retrace could send it back down to its trend line.

A1 Edgefinder

AI- Generated Trading Setups
AI-generated bullish/bearish bias setups on forex currencies, gold, & indices.

Discount code: 'READER'

Access Now

Free

Trading Plan Template
Struggling to build a successful trading plan? Download our template to get started today!
Download
Expecting A Pullback

Today's economic figures came out in US and Canada. GDP came in higher than expected in Canada while the price of goods purchased by consumers was lower than last month. Here are some pullback ideas for USD and CAD from GDP and PCE numbers. EdgeFinder Analysis NAS100 is a bullish reading on the EdgeFinder still. […]

Read More
Traders Wait For More Inflation Data

This week has brought more inflation data with it regarding the USD's PCE and PMI numbers. Powell is also set to speak this Friday about monetary policy going forward. The RBNZ will also release their latest interest rate news tomorrow with expectations of an unchanged rate at 5.5%. EdgeFinder Analysis GBPUSD is a bullish bias […]

Read More
Trading Into PMI Data on EUR, GBP and USD

This week is a big PMI week for Europe, UK and US. Additional inflationary metrics will add to the overall sentiment of these countries' monetary policies going forward. Here are some setups for the coming week on these currencies. EdgeFinder Analysis GBPCAD is now a +7 on the EdgeFinder as we wait for CPI news […]

Read More
DISCLAIMER: All comments made by TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC are for educational and informational purposes only. All comments should not be construed as investment advice regarding the purchase or sale of any securities or financial instrument of any kind. Please consult with your financial adviser before making an investment decision regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned by TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC. TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC assumes no responsibility for your trading and investment results. All information on any of the platforms utilized by TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC, its employees, representatives, and affiliated individuals may have a position or effect transactions in the securities and financial instruments herein and or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies. Trading of any type involves very high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC, its subsidiaries and all affiliated individuals assume no responsibility for your trading and investment result. Read our full disclaimer here
Home
Edgefinder
Signals
There is a significant degree of risk involved in trading securities. With respect to foreign exchange trading, there is considerable risk exposure, including but not limited to, leverage, creditworthiness, limited regulatory protection and market volatility that may substantially affect the price, or liquidity of a currency or currency pair. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts lose money when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
homesmartphonelaptop-phonecrossmenu linkedin facebook pinterest youtube rss twitter instagram facebook-blank rss-blank linkedin-blank pinterest youtube twitter instagram