Looking at the overall market, we've got a clear ascending channel forming higher highs and higher lows. Currently, we're about halfway through the current swing in the market, as price bounced off the channel's support at the start of November and we're now on our way to reach the resistance. Buyers are probably watching out for price action confirmations at the previous resistance at 1.328 and looking for price to treat this as new support, and continuing the bullish move. However, sellers will see that price failed to break through the 1.34 resistance, the same level as the previous higher high in the channel. This also lines up with not only the rising wedge formation which price is now breaking out of. Also, we're backed by some institutions like TD Bank and Credit Agricole who are saying the Pound is beginning to look expensive and according to Brexit-proxy indicators, GBP scores poorly on a mix of short-term valuation and growth, where relative mobility trends point to another run below 1.30. Also, with Biden pushing for a stimulus before year-end, this will further strengthen the USD and therefore points more towards a drop in this market. For extended fundamentals click here.
There's a mixed outlook on this market because we've got this bearish butterfly harmonic pattern formed in addition to the double top at the 0.738 level. The AUD is relatively neutral at the moment, and the performance in commodities will remain the dominant driver and influence moving forward. However looking at this market as a buyer, I've been watching the progress in this descending triangle pattern which broke to the upside, and they're likely to want to continue pushing price higher. I think we could see bullish moves as we've got a weak USD currently caused by participants moving out of safe-havens and back into riskier assets. This could without a doubt push price higher to previous long-term levels such as 0.75 or even monthly resistance levels like 0.80. For this reason, I'm a bit mixed at the moment, I would also pay close attention to how the Australian government will contain and deal with the Covid outbreak. For extended fundamentals click here.
Price has been travelling within this descending channel October forming successive lower lows and lower highs. I pointed this out two weeks ago that price was approaching the channel's resistance however we've still yet to see a clear touch, rejection and bounce-off the resistance. Sellers in the market are likely to want to push price lower targeting the -27% Fib level, which is 0.52. However, looking at the recent moves, we can see loads of consolidation between 1.546 and 1.555 as there's mixed outlooks on these currencies. The EUR is highly dependant on the Coronavirus outbreak as countries are re-implementing second lockdowns, the risks for the EUR will be to the downside. Whereas the CAD's expectations for policy tightening will likely support CAD, while expectations for policy easing will likely pressure CAD. I would suggest waiting on more clear drivers before taking any positions on this pair. For extended fundamentals click here.
We've got this overall bullish flag pattern formed, with price now at the channel's support and just surpassing the 71% fib level. Buyers are most likely looking for a clear rejection and bounce off this level and completing this chart pattern, pushing price back to 1855 and 1900 level. The fact that market participants have moved out of safe-havens and into riskier assets, this factor along with the USD following unprecedented easing from the Fed in prior months, and now expectations for prolonged easing as the central bank has adopted AIT, has notably weakened the USD. It's hard to say what will happen next, but I think we could see price reversing from this zone and back into the 1900 level, but this is just a possibility, with constant vaccine news, anything could happen. For extended fundamentals click here.
COMMENTS BY TRADERBART ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. I AM NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND ALL COMMENTS SHOULD NOT BE CONSTRUED AS INVESTMENT ADVICE REGARDING THE PURCHASE OR SALE OF ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT OF ANY KIND. PLEASE CONSULT WITH YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISOR BEFORE MAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION REGARDING ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS MENTIONED BY TRADERBART. BY COMMITTING TO ANY IDEAS SHOWN BY TRADERBART, YOU ASSUME FULL RESPONSIBILITY FOR YOUR TRADING AND INVESTMENT RESULTS. TRADING OF ANY TYPE INVOLVES VERY HIGH RISK AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS.
Looking for a Broker?
Check out our favorite brokers & reviews! Find brokers available in your country, or our top rated brokers to consider.
Weekly Forex Forecast for GBPUSD, EURCHF, USDJPY, XAUUSD (10-15 January 2021) Hey everyone! Welcome to this week's forex forecast for the week ending January 15th, 2021. It's so great to be back, I hope everyone's had a fantastic holiday, and I hope everyone's motivated to work 10x harder than last year. I'm wishing everyone nothing […]
Throughout the year, we've seen many changes to the way we trade, how we manage risk and how we interpret the markets. The new insights we have gained over the months usually come after years of trading and adapting to ever-changing environments. We've done all that in a matter of months! Up until the New […]
Weekly Forex Forecast for GBPUSD, USDJPY, GBPJPY, XAUUSD (13-18 December 2020) Hey everyone! Welcome to this week's forex forecast for the week ending December 18th, 2020. I'm TraderBart with A1 Trading, and this week I'll be looking at GBPUSD, USDJPY, GBPJPY & XAUUSD. GBPUSD Price has been travelling in this ascending channel since March forming […]
Politics preventing new financial stimulus The economic recovery in the major global economic powers depends on several important factors. One of the most vital part, the spread of the virus and the government's answers to it. With a decrease in daily cases of COVID-19 to 50,000 in the U.S.A. Yet U.S. A remains the most […]
Our team has unfortunately received many reports of scammers using our content and pretending to be us. While we will continue to report these accounts to the authorities as we receive reports, we may not always catch them in time. Below our a list of things to look out for before making a purchase to any […]
Warren Buffett is one of the most idolised, investors in the world. At the time of writing , his company, Berkshire Hathaway, has a market cap of $495 billion and Buffett himself has a net worth of $79 billion. His approach to value investing, combined with his influence over the companies he invests in , […]