Hey everyone! Welcome to this weeks forex forecast for the week ending September 25th, 2020. I'm TraderBart with A1 Trading, and this week I'll be looking at USDCHF, GBPUSD, AUDNZD & XAUUSD.
Zooming out, we can see price is travelling in a strong downtrend. However, since September, we saw price has been failing to create new lows, and instead, price is now forming a symmetrical triangle pattern. Price is already near the apex point, expecting a breakout then retest this week. I'll only take a position once I see price action confirmations of a rejection to the trend line.
Looking at the daily timeframe, we can see this substantial ascending channel which price has been travelling in since April. Price has been forming higher highs and higher lows, and the pound as an economy, has been able to recover from the massive drop caused by Covid19 nicely. Zooming in, we can see that currently, price is forming a bearish flag pattern on the H4 timeframe and is now awaiting its breakout. I'm expecting price to complete this chart pattern move and reach 1.27 level before reversing and continuing the ascending channel by making a move to the upside.
We can see this large rising wedge pattern formed here on the daily timeframe, which price was able to break out of in the past week. I'm waiting for price to now retest the support structure, reject it, so treat it as resistance before continuing a move to the downside and completing this chart pattern.
I've been sharing this symmetrical triangle pattern on Gold for the past 2/3 weeks now. Price is currently at the apex point of this pattern and I'm expecting price to breakout anytime this week. Once we see price break out of this structure I'll be waiting for a retest and then waiting for price action confirmations of a rejection and a continued move to the desired direction before taking any positions on this pair.
Yesterday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the Federal Reserve’s policy-making body, implemented yet another 75 basis point interest rate hike. While this move was perfectly in line with market forecasts, Chair Powell’s comments following the subsequent press conference, in which he discussed the FOMC’s new set of economic projections, were significant. He continued to […]
Statistics Canada released a surprising new batch of inflation data this morning: month-over-month CPI failed to meet market forecasts, declining by 0.3% instead of the anticipated 0.1%. Rather than being an outlier, the other measurements of CPI mostly followed suit, as both year-over-year Trimmed CPI and Median CPI likewise failed to meet expectations. Trimmed CPI’s […]
At 9:30 pm Eastern Time tonight, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will be publishing their latest round of monetary policy meeting minutes. While there is a chance that their intentions could come across as more hawkish than expected, they currently have little reason to be. Despite relatively low unemployment at 3.5%, steady GDP growth, […]
