A1 Trading Company

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November 8, 2022

This Strong Currency May Surprise You

Michael J. Donoghue
This Strong Currency May Surprise You

One of the main reasons why the EdgeFinder, A1 Trading’s market scanner, is so helpful is because of its ability to convey nuance when presenting analysis. For example, one currency pair may have strong bullish fundamentals while institutional sentiment somehow remains quite bearish, and the EdgeFinder is able to present this data concomitantly. This makes it even more compelling when the market scanner issues ‘strong’ buy or sell signals, indicating that a significant combination of fundamental, sentiment, and technical analysis have aligned for a pair. As of today, two new minor pairs have earned ‘strong sell’ signals; they share the same quote currency, and this strong currency may surprise you. It is the Kiwi Dollar, which has only recently been gaining bullish steam in the forex market. Boasting hot labor markets, strong GDP growth, high inflation, and a relatively hawkish central bank to match, New Zealand’s economy makes NZD seem quite promising. Institutional traders are only just now beginning to affirm this, with over 10% more of them going long on NZD than in the previous week.

Two Potential Pairs to Sell

The following two pairs are rated extremely favorably for bears, and for those planning to go long on NZD. They are listed below with their respective EdgeFinder ratings, signals/biases, and corresponding charts.

1) AUD/NZD (Earns a -9, or ‘Strong Sell’ Signal)

This Strong Currency May Surprise You
NZD currently beats AUD in every listed category.
This Strong Currency May Surprise You
October saw a steep breakout beneath key trendline support.

2) GBP/NZD (Earns a -9, or ‘Strong Sell’ Signal)

This Strong Currency May Surprise You
NZD currently beats GBP in every listed category.
This Strong Currency May Surprise You
This downtrend spans nearly two decades, as shown in the 1-Month timeframe above.

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