US unemployment claims rose higher than expectations which were 345K, last week's numbers were 371K, and today's numbers were 373K.
This news says a couple things about the US economy. And to refer to points made in last week's article on US unemployment, we can see that the labor force has increased. So, naturally more people are looking for jobs, and businesses are still struggling to hire. It's almost like we have to contradicting factors here which might be clearer in the big picture, but keeping track of this data on a week-to-week can be confusing sometimes.
Recent jobs numbers looks bad in the short term, but the fact that more people are entering the work force and businesses are still aggressively trying to hire is a good sign in the long term. In my opinion, it's like a great transition from civilians living on unemployment to them now out looking for job opportunities. People who were used to working at home are now trying to find opportunities remotely, and for better or worse, businesses will have to adjust to that. So, it is a very weird time in the US and the world, but this mixed sentiment seems like it's all part of a new era of employment, technology in the workplace, and business's adjustment to the new sentiment. In my opinion, this is not really a time to trade (intraday), but it is a time to look to invest because there will be a lot of noise in the short term and this type of environment calls for big picture plays.
|US equities seeing a huge market sell off in the premarket as price is already down 1.5% on the day. Price crossed under support and could be heading lower to $4269. Jobless claims rose this week as more people enter the work force. These dips look like good opportunities to find some potential long trades, however, significant risk is involved since these sell offs happen very quickly and harshly.|
NAS100 has a similar setup on the 4H. Two hard rejections from the lows from the two recent candles suggest a move higher. A close around this price would be a good sign for tech bulls, but a dip lower means support would be hit around $14,440.
The dollar index is moving synchronously with the market and is down close to 0.50% on the day. Price could come test a supportive trend line on the 4H, but if it dips, price would probably test additional support around $91.441.
9/17/2021 Stocks are down -0.58% this morning after coming down to test a significant level of support once again. While stocks fall, the dollar rises in the anticipation of sooner-than-expected tapering by the Fed along with a hike in interest rates starting in 2022. Our outlook Other than September being one of the worst months […]
9/16/2021 The Euro-Dollar pair is down over 0.5% today after several days in the red. Today's speech by EU president Lagarde mentioned how the economic recovery had come quicker than expected six months ago. This was praised by the prompt vaccine distribution so citizens could get back to work. Across the pond, the US just […]
9/14/2021 This morning's report on CPI m/m and core CPI m/m came in at a lower percentage than expected which resulted in a falling dollar pre-New York session. The USD is now volatile under the uncertainty of potential tapering and rising rates while the equities market seems to be rising because of this. Our outlook […]
9/13/2021 Big money has been moving out of Australia's currency for nearly a month now which has been the biggest drop in long contracts in this amount of time year-to-date. Australia's dollar index (AXY) is up 0.06% at 73.61 on the day after rebounding from the lows around 71.19. Our outlook Australia's economy has surprised […]