This morning, at 8:30 am Eastern Time, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia released an unfortunate batch of news for the US economy. The Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey, otherwise known as the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, which surveys over 200 Philadelphia manufacturers on a monthly basis, indicated worsening business conditions this month. While a score of -5 was anticipated, and would have already been a pessimistic indication, the real number was a bleaker -8.7. Considering that American manufacturing is a crucial component of US exports, these disappointing conditions ostensibly highlight the toll that a strong US Dollar is taking on trade, which carries negative implications for US GDP growth, or the lack thereof. With USD falling on the Philly Fed News today, monetary tightening-induced recession fears continue to haunt financial markets.
End of the Road for USD?
While the USD bullish run cannot last forever, a reversal currently seems unlikely anytime soon. High core inflation and hot labor markets are still incentivizing the Federal Reserve to continue their aggressive rate hike strategy, which they show little sign of stopping, regardless of UN criticism. Those bullish on USD may want to watch bearish movements like these for potential trade setups, which could yield potential discounted opportunities for going long on the Greenback.
Three Potential Pairs to Trade
According to the A1 EdgeFinder’s market analysis, the following pairs rank favorably for those interested in going long on USD. They are listed below with their respective ratings, signals/biases, and corresponding charts.
1) USD/CHF (Earns a Score of 4, or a ‘Buy’ Signal)
2) EUR/USD (Earns a Score of -5, or a ‘Sell’ Signal)
3) AUD/USD (Earns a Score of -4, or ‘Sell’ Signal)
GDP numbers came in lower than expected in the US, marking the third straight drop in economic output. This is usually good news for the stock market indices and gold, however, bond yields continue to hold up above 5.1%. Here are some potential trade setups for both dollar and index longs depending on how the […]
Hi, I’m Nick! I am the founder of A1 Trading, market analyst, YouTuber, and creator of the EdgeFinder software tool. I caught a huge winner on USoil with the help of the EdgeFinder! In this article, I’ll walk you through my thought process behind the trade and how I found this crazy runner! Finding My […]
Last Friday's report showed a significant change in global market sentiment from smart money. What COT signaled has turned ultra-risk-off for traders who have been hoping for Fed fears to subside. This news could spark up worries about higher interest rates for the long term. EdgeFinder Analysis GBPUSD is now a -12 on the EdgeFinder […]
