A1 Trading Company

Ticker tape by TradingView

September 10, 2021

USD Vs. CAD, Which Is The Better Play?

Frank Cabibi

9/10/2021

The summer was a constant back-and-forth struggle in sentiment between the two currencies. Now that we are nearing the tail end of Q3, things have changed from a monetary standpoint. The Fed keeps flashing signals of potential tapering this year and making investors consider a sooner-than-expected rate hike.

Our outlook

Both countries have great GDP q/q's meaning that they are rebounding at a very fast rate compared to other countries. The thing to consider between these two powerhouses is whether investors expect a raise in rates. Canada's overnight stayed the same at 0.25% although this week's beat in jobs numbers could suggest that the Bank of Canada might be looking to hike sooner. Right now, it's tough to say, but the USD looks like the best contender for higher rates to come quicker now that analysts believe the first hike to come in 2022. Looking short term, CAD seems to have the upper hand, but in the next 6-12 months time, USD might have an advantage as the economy is handling the pandemic better than Canada with a 5.2% unemployment rate vs Canada's 7.1%.

Trade Setups

USDCAD

USDCAD looks like it formed a head and shoulders pattern on the 1D chart which could be the start of a downtrend from a technical standpoint. The 50 and 200 DMAs lie below as well as a support level around 1.24841. However, if price can break out of its consolidation zone (above 1.26697ish range) we could get a higher move to the first shoulder around 1.28029.

A1 Edgefinder

Smart Money Tracker
See where big money is flowing with the A1 Edgefinder's smart money tracker! With one click, see where the biggest money flows are entering and exiting through COT data.

10% off code: 'READER'

GET ACCESS NOW

VIP discord

Trade Alerts, Strategies, Chatrooms & more!

10% off code: 'READER'

LEARN MORE
What To Expect From Today's FOMC

Today at 2:00 pm EST, the Fed will announce their latest interest rate decision. Estimates suggest a smaller hike of 25 basis points this time around. Here are some things to consider before the FOMC decision later today: The Fed has struggled to tighten their grip on inflation without causing too much disturbance in the […]

Read More
The Art of Not Trading

With the holiday season lingering on and a new year on the cusp of arrival, traders may glance at the calendar and notice there is not much economic news to anticipate on Friday to cap off a light week. In situations like these where there can be lulls in bullish and bearish momentum due to […]

Read More
Best Currency to Buy?

As the fiscal year comes to a close, consumers will likely finish shopping for the holidays, and traders and investors will get some respite thanks to a long weekend due to bank holidays around the world. While concerns about further stock market selloffs may be lingering in the minds of some, a promising set of […]

Read More
DISCLAIMER: All comments made by TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC are for educational and informational purposes only. All comments should not be construed as investment advice regarding the purchase or sale of any securities or financial instrument of any kind. Please consult with your financial adviser before making an investment decision regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned by TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC. TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC assumes no responsibility for your trading and investment results. All information on any of the platforms utilized by TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC, its employees, representatives, and affiliated individuals may have a position or effect transactions in the securities and financial instruments herein and or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies. Trading of any type involves very high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. TraderNick’s Forex Group, LLC, its subsidiaries and all affiliated individuals assume no responsibility for your trading and investment result. Read our full disclaimer here
Home
Edgefinder
VIP
Menu
homesmartphonelaptopmenu linkedin facebook pinterest youtube rss twitter instagram facebook-blank rss-blank linkedin-blank pinterest youtube twitter instagram