Let's look at the news event's we've got lining up this week...
During the previous rate decision, the RBA kept their interest rates on hold as expected. However, the RBA has removed its yield curve control target on the April 2024 government bond since it is "losing credibility". The transcript during this event should provide more insight on when policymakers think their first tightening move may happen.
The USD Retail Sales Report is set for Tuesday which shows the total value of sales at a retail level. Consumer spending accounts for a majority of economic activity, and therefore when citizens spend, it is a sign that people have jobs, people are making money, and people are able to spend money for whatever it is they want.
A pickup in consumer spending is eyed for October, with the headline figure expected to rise from 0.7% to 1.2% and the core reading to also pick up from 0.8% to 1.0%. These increases were likely caused by the rebound in auto sales, on top of the improvement in the labour market situation.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report measures the change in the average price basket of goods and services by consumers, which can be anything from food, transportation and medical care. Changes in the CPI are used to assess price changes associated with living in the country. It is one of the most used statistics to identify periods of inflation or deflation.
Another surge in UK inflation is eyed, with the headline figure expected to climb from 3.1% to 3.8%. This may be enough to spark BoE rate hike bets once again, as stagflation remains a persistent threat to the UK economy.
The BoC is also releasing its inflation figures this week as well as related indicators of price pressures. The headline CPI report doesn't currently have a forecast, but later in the week keep an eye on this event. Stronger than expected results could fuel monetary policy tightening expectations from the BoC.
12/2/2021 US equities fell 5% from the highs after fears of a new coronavirus variant emerged and the first case was recorded in the US. SPX500 is up .10% on the day at the time of writing this. Our outlook The new omicron variant is definitely concerning most investors right now as the US will […]
Check out my previous G/U deep dive from early October here to see how we have progressed... Technical Outlook: Price has mainly been travelling in channels throughout the past year. As we saw the ascending channel formed post-Covid last year, price began retesting all previous key horizontal levels. Over the past couple of months, price has […]
11/30/2021 Gold price rose 0.59% on the day at the time of writing this in light of the uncertainty surrounding the Fed's policy towards the new variant and tapering of asset purchases. Our outlook I think gold will likely see some green today as the virus concerns can cause a slow in growth since the […]