Let's look at the news event's we've got lining up this week...
A Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report is a measure of the size and health of a country's economy over a period of time. The figure sums up the country's performance in terms of trade, consumer activity, government spending and investment during a particular period.
Analysts are expecting the Canadian economy to print a negative reading for their next monthly GDP reading at -0.8%, which is much slower compared to last months reading at 1.1%. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive for the CAD, while a weaker forecast reading is generally negative for the CAD. The outcome of this event is used as an indicator of the national economy state and of the standard of living.
Every month, the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) have a meeting to discuss the outlook of Oil and its performance. OPEC aims to control the price of oil by adjusting supply volumes. If its members want to increase the price of oil, they can revise their production quotas downwards to limit supply.
WTI Crude Oil is currently hovering at around $70/barrel, oil traders are keen to find out what the OPEC are planning next. Any indication that they're looking to adjust its output deal might revive oversupply concerns, which will likely weigh on crude oil prices.
The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) or also known as Non-Farm Employment Change data, released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, is a key economic indicator for the US economy which represents the number of jobs added to US citizens, excluding farm, government, private household and non-profit organisation employees.
NFP data always causes a commotion in FX as it is an important indicator for the Federal Reserve Bank. When unemployment is high, policymakers tend to have an expansionary (stimulatory, with low-interest rates) monetary policy with the goal to increase economic output and increase employment.
Analysts are expecting hiring to print at 700k versus last months weaker-than-expected 559k gain. This is also expected to bring the unemployment rate down by 0.1% from 5.8% to 5.7%.
The past couple of NFP reports haven't turned out as well as expected, and the FOMC acknowledged the pickup in inflation but warned that they need to see stronger employment figures before they can just monetary policy. Traders are looking for clues whether the Fed could taper soon and hence this event is likely going to cause great volatility on Friday on major pairs.
9/24/2021 The People's Bank of China banned all crypto transactions on overseas Chinese services along with its domestic ban. Bitcoin is down over 8% today and Ethereum is down 11.48%. Our outlook I think we're seeing a lot of noise around China and their condemning of cryptocurrencies before they digitize their own. In the short […]
Let's look into the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Summary which took place on Thursday the 23rd of September, 2021. Quick Summary: BoE keeps interest rates unchanged at 0.10% BoE will maintain its asset purchasing target at £875B The vote to keep policy unchanged passed with a 7-2 vote The minutes of the MPC meeting […]
9/23/2021 The precious metal snapped three days of gains and tumbled back down to the support range from $1740s-1760s approximately. Gold is down -.56% on the day going into the opening of the NY session. Our outlook Gold will likely rise on the US indices falling, and is usually due to slowing economic growth. Because […]
9/21/2021 Bitcoin Update For the past month, Bitcoin went on a tear rising over 20% from the beginning of August. Recently, however, China and other risk-off factors have contributed to a 23% decline from the recent highs around $52,760. Now the most prominent crypto has touched these monthly lows which could be a potentially good […]